Thursday, August 09, 2018


Hurricane season is such an erratic phenomenon. It's really difficult to get a bead on those forecasts. You never know which direction they are going to turn.
Coastal residents, take note: Hurricane season is far from over, but it's looking more likely this will be a much slower period.

Forecasters at NOAA's Climate Prediction Center increased the likelihood of a below-normal Atlantic hurricane season to 60 percent -- up from 25 percent predicted in May -- and the chance of an above-normal season has dropped from 35 percent to 10 percent.

NOAA is predicting a total of nine to 13 named storms, which are at least of tropical storm strength (winds of 39 mph or greater). Of those, four to seven will become hurricanes (winds of 74 mph or greater) and zero to two major hurricanes (111 mph winds or greater).
Increased the likelihood of below normal.  That is fun. I feel like the wind just took a violent shift. Stay tuned for the sudden upgrade in forecasted season intensity next month after a few storms finally develop.

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