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Saturday, February 06, 2010

Predictions

As always, this site does not do political endorsements because 1) Nobody cares what we think or who we're voting for 2) None of the candidates are worth getting behind anyway. Instead, we like to keep to the tried and true political media tradition of playing horse race. Here's what I'm thinking for what that's worth:

Mayor: I think we're gonna get a Landrieu-Henry runoff. Henry went full in with the racial stuff once Ed Murray dropped out. I think he probably expected a better response than what he got. But it would be naive to think that he hasn't helped himself. Expect him to turn up the volume in the runoff and expect it to be a rough contest provided he has enough money to keep up. Landrieu has known all along that his best chance in this race would be to win outright in the primary. If Georges weren't still hanging around, he might have had a chance to do that. Here's my guess at the numbers:

Landrieu: 46%

Henry: 19%

Georges: 12%

Couhig: 9%

Ramsey: 7%

Perry: 4%

Others: 3%

Assessor: Mauberret vs Lemle in a bloody bloody runoff

Council At Large: Boring result. Fielkow is in. Jackie Clarkson and Cynthia Willard-Lewis will be in a runoff.

District A: Jay Batt will win in the primary.

District B: Stacy Head will really trounce Corey Watson. People will be a little surprised at the large margin here.

District C: Runoff between Tom Arnold and Kristen Palmer.

District D:
Cynthia Hedge-Morrell will win in the primary.

District E: Austin Badon (once considered a Mayoral front-runner) will win in the primary.

State Senate: Karen Carter Peterson will win convincingly.

Coroner: Wow what a pile of money Dwight McKenna has wasted trying to knock out Frank Minyard. It won't work.

NFL Hall of Fame Balloting: This is the year Rickey Jackson gets in, dammit! Yes, the voting will take place tomorrow. Yes, it will be in Florida. Of course, we should send in the lawyers if the outcome looks suspicious.

Superbowl XLIV: As of right now the Colts are back up to a 5 point favorite. I don't see it. The Colts are quick on defense but undersized. The Saints have an all-pro interior line and a healthy backfield rotation. I think they'll be able to run right at Indy. Look for more Mike Bell than you've seen in a while. The Colts also like to play a lot of deep zone coverage. If Shockey is healthy, and I think he is, the Saints will exploit the seams and Brees will kill them.

Peyton Manning's genius, the Colts' many ways to beat you, blah blah blah... it's nothing the Saints haven't seen before this year. The healthy Saints secondary has proven it can play with anybody. I think they can handle these people. Also, did you know the Colts were last in the league in rushing this year? And that the Saints were third best in defending red zone scoring opportunities? Those two facts seem pretty relevant to me. Not saying the Colts won't move the ball and score points, but they won't do it all day and they won't be able to keep up.

When the Saints won the NFC Championship, I didn't think I'd care if they actually won the Superbowl. But after listening to all the crap from ESPN these past two weeks, I'm ready. Of course, don't expect a whole lot of attaboys from that crowd even if the Saints do win. Odds are still pretty good that we'll spend the summer hearing about how the Colts were "technically the better team." Maybe they'll find a way to force a runoff.

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