Get ready for another fun year in Baton Rouge.
Louisiana's $315 million deficit from last year was mainly driven by
continuing dips in employment that are hammering personal income and
business tax collections, the Legislature's chief economist said
Thursday.
Greg Albrecht delivered the grim assessment to the state's income
forecasting panel, the Revenue Estimating Conference, with a warning:
"There's no improvement in sight so far."
The
economist, who has described Louisiana as in a recession, told the
forecasting panel that the number of private-sector jobs in the state
has been falling since last year, particularly in the oil and gas
industry, but also in other high-paying fields.
"We've had declining employment or slowdown since the beginning of 2015," Albrecht said.
That
has a ripple effect across income and sales tax collections, as people
earn and spend less money, hitting state coffers — and providing fewer
dollars to pay for state services and programs.
Louisiana's
unemployment rate is 6.4 percent, third-worst among states. The number
of people working in the mining sector, which includes the oil and gas
industry, has fallen 30 percent since December 2014, according to
Albrecht's data.
Know, also, a lot of Donald Trump's support in Louisiana came from voters expecting him to "save" the oil and gas industry through.. well..
primarily through disastrous environmental deregulation.
The president-elect has made no secret of his disdain for the
ambitious agenda pursued by the Environmental Protection Agency.
"Environmental protection, what they do is a disgrace; every week they come out with new regulations," he told Fox News Sunday last year.
"Who's going to protect the environment?" asked host Chris Wallace.
"We'll be fine with the environment," Trump replied. "We can leave a little bit, but you can't destroy businesses."
Trump has begun mapping out his new environmental policy with a transition team that shares his deregulatory zeal. He is reportedly
relying on Myron Ebell, director of the Center for Energy and
Environment at the conservative Competitive Enterprise Institute, to
help him flesh out his transition plan for the EPA.
Trump has also
promised to eliminate regulations on oil and gas exploration to boost
development of fossil fuels and help spur the economy. To help him
implement that policy, he is reportedly considering naming Forrest Lucas, the 74-year-old co-founder of oil products company Lucas Oil, as his interior secretary.
That agency has
broad purview over energy policy, including oversight of offshore
drilling, fracking regulations, protections for endangered species and
supervision of national parks and wildlife refuges.
"We can leave a little bit." Louisiana is going under the sea thanks to climate change and the oil industry's despoiling of the coast. We won't be the little bit that gets left.
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