Thursday, May 22, 2014

Good shot

"Poll show Mitch Landrieu has good shot at becoming LA gov."
A Southern Media and Opinion Research poll on the 2015 governor's race shows Landrieu, a Democrat, tied with Republican Senator David Vitter in a hypothetical primary. Both get 29 percent in the survey, well ahead of any other potential candidates.
"Good shot" Sure, that is unless the two frontrunners make the runoff together (crazy thought, I know) in which case, according to the same poll,
The same poll shows Vitter leading Landrieu 53 percent to 42 percent in a runoff.
Similarly, we might have read this March poll showing Edwin Edwards leading the pack among Sixth Congressional District hopefuls and concluded he also has a "good shot" at winning.

Edwards even does better than Mitch in hypothetical runoffs vs his Republican opponents.
In two runoff scenarios, Claitor and Graves both beat Edwards by an identical margin of 52-47 percent.
So, for some reason, these results mean that Mitch has a "good shot" while we're still wondering, "Should we take Edwin Edwards seriously?"  Why is that?


hopitoulas said...

Excellent point. But we know why, don't we?

hopitoulas said...

Also, I'll take all bets on Mitch.